Using GHSL to Analyze Urbanization and Land-Use Efficiency in the Philippines from 1975-2020: Trends and Implications for Sustainable Development

Abstract

This study analyzed the trends and patterns of urbanization and changes in land-use efficiency in the Philippines from 1975-2020 using the Global Human Settlement Layers (GHSL). Utilizing the GHS-BUILT-S, GHS POP, and GHS-SMOD raster datasets from the GHSL Data Package 2023, we examined the spatiotemporal expansion of built-up areas and the growth of population in urban and rural regions of the country. Using the same datasets, we also measured the country's achievement of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG)11.3, particularly on inclusive and sustainable urbanization through efficient land utilization, by computing the ratio of land consumption rate (LCR) to the population growth rate (PGR), also known as LCRPGR. The results of our analysis revealed an increasing trend in the overall built-up area and population of the Philippines within the examined period. Built-up areas and population in urban regions more than tripled in size from 1975 to 2020, demonstrating a notable shift towards more urbanized regions over time. In addition to presenting evidence of the Philippines' developmental progress and urbanization, our analysis of GHSL data shows a decline in land consumption, a deceleration in population growth, and an overall enhancement in land-use efficiency within the country. These findings suggest a shift towards more controlled and sustainable land development practices, supporting the country's goal of sustainable urbanization and land management. The implications of these findings are crucial for policymakers and urban planners in the Philippines, offering valuable insights to guide the formulation of effective and comprehensive land management strategies. Further work includes conducting localized analyses at the city or municipality level to provide valuable insights into the unique urbanization patterns and land-use dynamics across different islands and regions, enabling tailored policy interventions and spatial planning strategies to promote sustainable development.