Zusammenfassung: | |
Thunderstorms are one of the leading causes of Air Traffic Management delays. In this paper, we assess how incorporating convective information into flight planning algorithms can lead to reductions in reroutings due to storm encounters during the execution of the flight. We use robust open-loop optimal control methodology at the flight planning level and incorporate meteorological uncertainties based on Ensemble Prediction System forecasts. Convective risk areas can be derived from the latter to be included in the objective function. At the execution level, the planned trajectories are included in an air traffic simulator (NAVSIM) under observed weather (wind and storms). In this simulation process, track modifications might be triggered in case of encountering an observed thunderstorm. A tool termed DIVMET based on pathfinding algorithms has been integrated into NAVSIM is considered to that end. Results show that planning robust trajectories (avoiding thus convective areas) reduces the number of storms encounters and increases predictability. This increase in predictability is at a cost in terms of fuel and time, also quantified. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd
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Lizenzbestimmungen: | CC BY 4.0 Unported - https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
Publikationstyp: | Article |
Publikationsstatus: | publishedVersion |
Erstveröffentlichung: | 2021 |
Schlagwörter (englisch): | Convective weather, Robust flight-planning, Simulation, Planning, Thunderstorms, Vehicle actuated signals, Air Traffic Management, Air traffic simulators, Ensemble prediction systems, Impact assessments, Objective functions, Open loop optimal control, Path-finding algorithms, Simulation process, Air traffic control, air traffic, algorithm, assessment method, computer simulation, numerical model, traffic management, transportation planning |
Fachliche Zuordnung (DDC): | 380 | Handel, Kommunikation, Verkehr |
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