An efficient reliability analysis on complex non-repairable systems with common-cause failures

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Feng, G.; George-Williams, H.; Patelli, E.; Coolen, F.P.A.; Beer, M.: An efficient reliability analysis on complex non-repairable systems with common-cause failures. In: Haugen, S. et al. (Eds.): Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World, 2018, S. 2531-2538. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-318

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To cite the version in the repository, please use this identifier: https://doi.org/10.15488/9254

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Sum total of downloads: 171




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Abstract: 
Common-Cause Failures (CCF) impose severe consequences on a complex system’s reliability and overall performance. A more realistic assessment, therefore, of the survivability of the system requires an adequate consideration of these failures. The survival signature approach opens up a new and efficient way to compute system reliability, given its ability to segregate the structural and probabilistic attributes of the system. Traditional survival signature-based approaches assume the failure of one component to have no effect on the survival of the others. This assumption, however, is flawed for most realistic systems, given the existence of various forms of couplings between components. This paper, therefore, presents a novel and general survival signature-based simulation approach for non-repairable complex systems. We have used Monte Carlo Simulation to enhance the easy propagation of CCF across the complex system, instead of an analytical approach, which currently is impossible. In real application world, however, due to lack of knowledge or data about the behaviour of a certain component, its parameters can only be reported with a certain level of confidence, normally expressed as an interval. In order to deal with the imprecision, the double loop Monte Carlo simulation methodology which bases on the survival signature is used to analyse the complex system with CCF. The numerical examples are presented in the end to show the applicability of the approach.
License of this version: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 Unported
Document Type: BookPart
Publishing status: publishedVersion
Issue Date: 2018
Appears in Collections:Fakultät für Bauingenieurwesen und Geodäsie

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pos. country downloads
total perc.
1 image of flag of Germany Germany 57 33.33%
2 image of flag of United States United States 33 19.30%
3 image of flag of China China 26 15.20%
4 image of flag of United Kingdom United Kingdom 7 4.09%
5 image of flag of No geo information available No geo information available 5 2.92%
6 image of flag of Russian Federation Russian Federation 4 2.34%
7 image of flag of Italy Italy 4 2.34%
8 image of flag of Turkey Turkey 3 1.75%
9 image of flag of France France 3 1.75%
10 image of flag of Czech Republic Czech Republic 3 1.75%
    other countries 26 15.20%

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