A space-time hybrid hourly rainfall model for derived flood frequency analysis

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dc.identifier.uri http://dx.doi.org/10.15488/549
dc.identifier.uri http://www.repo.uni-hannover.de/handle/123456789/573
dc.contributor.author Haberlandt, Uwe
dc.contributor.author Ebner Von Eschenbach, A.-D.
dc.contributor.author Buchwald, I.
dc.date.accessioned 2016-10-28T09:05:30Z
dc.date.available 2016-10-28T09:05:30Z
dc.date.issued 2008
dc.identifier.citation Haberlandt, U.; Ebner Von Eschenbach, A.-D.; Buchwald, I.: A space-time hybrid hourly rainfall model for derived flood frequency analysis. In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 12 (2008), Nr. 6, S. 1353-1367. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-12-1353-2008
dc.description.abstract For derived flood frequency analysis based on hydrological modelling long continuous precipitation time series with high temporal resolution are needed. Often, the observation network with recording rainfall gauges is poor, especially regarding the limited length of the available rainfall time series. Stochastic precipitation synthesis is a good alternative either to extend or to regionalise rainfall series to provide adequate input for long-term rainfall-runoff modelling with subsequent estimation of design floods. Here, a new two step procedure for stochastic synthesis of continuous hourly space-time rainfall is proposed and tested for the extension of short observed precipitation time series. First, a single-site alternating renewal model is presented to simulate independent hourly precipitation time series for several locations. The alternating renewal model describes wet spell durations, dry spell durations and wet spell intensities using univariate frequency distributions separately for two seasons. The dependence between wet spell intensity and duration is accounted for by 2-copulas. For disaggregation of the wet spells into hourly intensities a predefined profile is used. In the second step a multi-site resampling procedure is applied on the synthetic point rainfall event series to reproduce the spatial dependence structure of rainfall. Resampling is carried out successively on all synthetic event series using simulated annealing with an objective function considering three bivariate spatial rainfall characteristics. In a case study synthetic precipitation is generated for some locations with short observation records in two mesoscale catchments of the Bode river basin located in northern Germany. The synthetic rainfall data are then applied for derived flood frequency analysis using the hydrological model HEC-HMS. The results show good performance in reproducing average and extreme rainfall characteristics as well as in reproducing observed flood frequencies. The presented model has the potential to be used for ungauged locations through regionalisation of the model parameters. eng
dc.description.sponsorship BMBF/FKZ:0330684
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher Göttingen : Copernicus GmbH
dc.relation.ispartofseries Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 12 (2008), Nr. 6
dc.rights CC BY 3.0 Unported
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
dc.subject catchment eng
dc.subject flood frequency eng
dc.subject frequency analysis eng
dc.subject rainfall-runoff modeling eng
dc.subject raingauge eng
dc.subject regionalization eng
dc.subject time series analysis eng
dc.subject Bode Basin eng
dc.subject Central Europe eng
dc.subject Eurasia eng
dc.subject Europe eng
dc.subject Germany eng
dc.subject Saxony-Anhalt eng
dc.subject.ddc 550 | Geowissenschaften ger
dc.subject.ddc 551 | Geologie, Hydrologie, Meteorologie ger
dc.title A space-time hybrid hourly rainfall model for derived flood frequency analysis eng
dc.type Article
dc.type Text
dc.relation.issn 1027-5606
dc.relation.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-12-1353-2008
dc.bibliographicCitation.issue 6
dc.bibliographicCitation.volume 12
dc.bibliographicCitation.firstPage 1353
dc.bibliographicCitation.lastPage 1367
dc.description.version publishedVersion
tib.accessRights frei zug�nglich

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