Robust flight planning impact assessment considering convective phenomena

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García-Heras, J.; Soler, M.; González-Arribas, D.; Eschbacher, K.; Rokitansky, C.-H. et al.: Robust flight planning impact assessment considering convective phenomena. In: Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 123 (2021), 102968. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2021.102968

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Abstract: 
Thunderstorms are one of the leading causes of Air Traffic Management delays. In this paper, we assess how incorporating convective information into flight planning algorithms can lead to reductions in reroutings due to storm encounters during the execution of the flight. We use robust open-loop optimal control methodology at the flight planning level and incorporate meteorological uncertainties based on Ensemble Prediction System forecasts. Convective risk areas can be derived from the latter to be included in the objective function. At the execution level, the planned trajectories are included in an air traffic simulator (NAVSIM) under observed weather (wind and storms). In this simulation process, track modifications might be triggered in case of encountering an observed thunderstorm. A tool termed DIVMET based on pathfinding algorithms has been integrated into NAVSIM is considered to that end. Results show that planning robust trajectories (avoiding thus convective areas) reduces the number of storms encounters and increases predictability. This increase in predictability is at a cost in terms of fuel and time, also quantified. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd
License of this version: CC BY 4.0 Unported
Document Type: Article
Publishing status: publishedVersion
Issue Date: 2021
Appears in Collections:Fakultät für Mathematik und Physik

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pos. country downloads
total perc.
1 image of flag of Germany Germany 10 29.41%
2 image of flag of United States United States 9 26.47%
3 image of flag of China China 4 11.76%
4 image of flag of France France 2 5.88%
5 image of flag of Czech Republic Czech Republic 2 5.88%
6 image of flag of South Africa South Africa 1 2.94%
7 image of flag of No geo information available No geo information available 1 2.94%
8 image of flag of Taiwan Taiwan 1 2.94%
9 image of flag of Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Islamic Republic of 1 2.94%
10 image of flag of Indonesia Indonesia 1 2.94%
    other countries 2 5.88%

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