Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration

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Neuendorf, F.; Thiele, J.; Albert, C.; Haaren, C. von: Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration. In: PLOS ONE 16 (2021), Nr. 11, e0260302. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260302

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Zum Zitieren der Version im Repositorium verwenden Sie bitte diesen DOI: https://doi.org/10.15488/11795

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Zusammenfassung: 
A key challenge of environmental planning is to craft recommendations for future sustainable spatial development amid ubiquitous uncertainties. This paper aims to explore how different data uncertainties, usually unknown to the planner, may influence environmental planning recommendations. We apply a case study-based approach, in which we provide three illustrative examples of how data with different kinds and levels of uncertainty affect environmental assessments and, by that, the decision-support provided by environmental planning. The cases stem from different spatial levels in Germany and consider ‘Regional soil-based climate change mitigation’ in the region of Hannover, ‘State-wide habitat conservation siting’ in the federal state of Saxony-Anhalt, and ‘National renewable energy planning’. Based on the three examples, we discuss implications for planning practice and derive recommendations for further research. The three cases studies illustrate the substantial effects of data uncertainty on environmental assessments and planning recommendations derived from those results. We identify four problem constellations of dealing with data uncertainty in environmental planning that relate to the severeness of uncertainty impacts, the responsibility of the decision-maker, and the kinds of impacts that wrong decisions may have. We close with recommendations for further research, among others to develop robust and pragmatic methods for identifying the uncertainty levels in environmental data and assessment results.
Lizenzbestimmungen: CC BY 4.0 Unported
Publikationstyp: Article
Publikationsstatus: publishedVersion
Erstveröffentlichung: 2021
Die Publikation erscheint in Sammlung(en):Fakultät für Architektur und Landschaft

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Pos. Land Downloads
Anzahl Proz.
1 image of flag of Germany Germany 76 53,15%
2 image of flag of United States United States 31 21,68%
3 image of flag of No geo information available No geo information available 7 4,90%
4 image of flag of Russian Federation Russian Federation 6 4,20%
5 image of flag of China China 6 4,20%
6 image of flag of India India 5 3,50%
7 image of flag of United Kingdom United Kingdom 5 3,50%
8 image of flag of Vietnam Vietnam 2 1,40%
9 image of flag of Romania Romania 1 0,70%
10 image of flag of Ireland Ireland 1 0,70%
    andere 3 2,10%

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