Parameter Identification in a Tuberculosis Model for Cameroon

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Moualeu-Ngangue, Dany Pascal; Roeblitz, Susanna; Ehrig, Rainald; Deuflhard, Peter: Parameter Identification in a Tuberculosis Model for Cameroon. In: PloS ONE 10 (2015), Nr. 4, UNSP e0120607. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0120607

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To cite the version in the repository, please use this identifier: https://doi.org/10.15488/275

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Sum total of downloads: 229




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Abstract: 
A deterministic model of tuberculosis in Cameroon is designed and analyzed with respect to its transmission dynamics. The model includes lack of access to treatment and weak diagnosis capacity as well as both frequency-and density-dependent transmissions. It is shown that the model is mathematically well-posed and epidemiologically reasonable. Solutions are non-negative and bounded whenever the initial values are non-negative. A sensitivity analysis of model parameters is performed and the most sensitive ones are identified by means of a state-of-the-art Gauss-Newton method. In particular, parameters representing the proportion of individuals having access to medical facilities are seen to have a large impact on the dynamics of the disease. The model predicts that a gradual increase of these parameters could significantly reduce the disease burden on the population within the next 15 years.
License of this version: CC BY 4.0 Unported
Document Type: Article
Publishing status: publishedVersion
Issue Date: 2015-04-13
Appears in Collections:Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät

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pos. country downloads
total perc.
1 image of flag of Germany Germany 144 62.88%
2 image of flag of United States United States 24 10.48%
3 image of flag of No geo information available No geo information available 10 4.37%
4 image of flag of Russian Federation Russian Federation 10 4.37%
5 image of flag of China China 10 4.37%
6 image of flag of Ukraine Ukraine 3 1.31%
7 image of flag of India India 3 1.31%
8 image of flag of Brazil Brazil 3 1.31%
9 image of flag of United Kingdom United Kingdom 2 0.87%
10 image of flag of Chile Chile 2 0.87%
    other countries 18 7.86%

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